{"id":665119,"date":"2025-12-07T19:06:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T19:06:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=665119"},"modified":"2025-12-07T19:06:04","modified_gmt":"2025-12-07T19:06:04","slug":"exit-poll-alegeri-primaria-bucuresti-2025-curs-ciucu-327-baluta-263-alexandrescu-202-drula-128-inscop-ciucu-317-baluta-261-alexandrescu-211","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=665119","title":{"rendered":"EXIT-POLL Alegeri Prim\u0103ria Bucure\u0219ti 2025. CURS: Ciucu 32,7% B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 26,3% Alexandrescu 20,2% Drul\u0103 12,8%. INSCOP: Ciucu: 31,7%, B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 26,1%, Alexandrescu 21,1%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/exit-poll-alegeri-primaria-bucuresti-2025-curs-ciucu-327-baluta-263-alexandrescu-202-drula-128-inscop-ciucu-317-baluta-261-alexandrescu-211.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-0\"><strong>EXIT-POLL CURS-Avangarde:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Ciprian Ciucu \u2013 32,7%<\/li>\n<li>Daniel B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 \u2013 26,3%<\/li>\n<li>Anca Alexandrescu \u2013 20,2%<\/li>\n<li>C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103 \u2013 12,8%<\/li>\n<li>Ana Ciceal\u0103 \u2013 6%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-1\"><strong>Sondaj de opinie INSCOP Research, realizat \u00een ziua votului:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Ciprian Ciucu \u2013 31,7%<\/li>\n<li>Daniel B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 \u2013 26,1%<\/li>\n<li>Anca Alexandrescu \u2013 21,1%<\/li>\n<li>C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103 \u2013 12,8%<\/li>\n<li>Ana Ciceal\u0103 \u2013 7%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-2\">EXIT-POLL SOCIOPOL:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Ciprian Ciucu \u2013 32%<\/li>\n<li>Daniel B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 \u2013 27%<\/li>\n<li>Anca Alexandrescu \u2013 19%<\/li>\n<li>C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103 \u2013 12%<\/li>\n<li>Ana Ciceal\u0103 \u2013 8%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p id=\"p-0\"><strong>UPDATE<\/strong> Un candidat pare c\u0103 s-a desprins \u0219i va fi prezentat pe primul loc de exit-poll-uri cu un avans de aproximativ 5 procente.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-1\"><strong>UPDATE 20:00.<\/strong> Datele actuale arat\u0103 c\u0103 viitorul primar va ob\u021bine cel mai probabil sub 200.000 de voturi. Reamintim c\u0103 \u00een Bucure\u0219ti sunt poten\u021bial 1,8 milioane de votan\u021bi.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-2\"><strong>UPDATE 19:30<\/strong>. Cele mai noi date arat\u0103 c\u0103 votul \u00een ultimele ore a fost \u201eutil\u201d. Datele sunt confirmate \u0219i de sondajele cu profilul aleg\u0103torilor. Aproape jum\u0103tate dintre ace\u0219tia declar\u00e2nd c\u0103 au votat \u201er\u0103ul mai mic\u201d.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-3\"><strong>UPDATE 19:00<\/strong> Noile estim\u0103ri arat\u0103 c\u0103 diferen\u021ba dintre primii doi este \u00een continuare una mic\u0103. Diferen\u021ba fa\u021b\u0103 de locul trei a crescut u\u0219or. Prezen\u021ba va juca \u0219i ea un rol. Unul dintre cei doi pare s\u0103 fi epuizat bazinul specific. Iar voturile din ultimele ore par s\u0103 vin\u0103 \u00een direc\u021bia celuilalt. Votul din aceste dou\u0103 ore va conta cu siguran\u021b\u0103 \u00een configura\u021bia final\u0103.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-4\"><strong>UPDATE 18:00<\/strong> Estim\u0103rile de la aceast\u0103 or\u0103 indic\u0103 men\u021binerea tendin\u021bei observate pe parcursul zilei. Directorul INSCOP, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediafax.ro\/politic\/ce-spune-directorul-inscop-despre-votul-din-capitala-surprize-daca-faptul-ca-va-castiga-cine-a-facut-ceva-treaba-in-bucuresti-este-o-surpriza-atunci-da-23654302\">Remus \u0218tefureac<\/a>, afirm\u0103 c\u0103, raportat la m\u0103sur\u0103torile din ultima s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103, \u201enicio surpriz\u0103\u201d nu se contureaz\u0103 \u00een privin\u021ba ierarhiei candida\u021bilor.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-5\"><strong>UPDATE 17:00<\/strong> Diferen\u021ba \u00eentre primii este \u00een apropierea marjei de eroare. Diferen\u021ba final\u0103 ar putea fi de doar c\u00e2teva mii de voturi. Un factor semnificativ este \u0219i prezen\u021ba mic\u0103 la vot ce va face ca prim\u0103ria Capitalei s\u0103 fie c\u00e2\u0219tigat\u0103 cu num\u0103r total de voturi ce va fi unul dintre cele mai mici din istorie.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-6\"><strong>UPDATE 15:30<\/strong>&nbsp;Estim\u0103rile de la acest\u0103 or\u0103 confirm\u0103 lupta st\u00e2ns\u0103 din sondajele anterioare votului. Diferen\u021bele dintre primii candida\u021bi sunt mici. Diferen\u021ba dintre primul \u0219i al doilea s-a redus semi\u021bitor fa\u021b\u0103 de datele de diminea\u021b\u0103. Pare c\u0103 b\u0103t\u0103lia se va da p\u00e2n\u0103 spre \u00eenchiderea urnelor. Mobilizarea de sear\u0103 ar putea influen\u021ba mult clasamentul final.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-7\"><em>Mediafax va publica la ora 21:00, primele rezultate ale exit-poll-urilor, oferind o imagine timpurie asupra votului bucure\u0219tenilor \u00eentr-una dintre cele mai urm\u0103rite competi\u021bii electorale ale anului.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-3\">Cine realizeaz\u0103 exit-poll-urile pentru alegerile din Bucure\u0219ti 2025?<\/h2>\n<p id=\"p-8\">Biroul Electoral Municipal (BEM) a acreditat cinci institute de sondare, care vor publica trei exit-poll-uri \u0219i o cercetare sociologic\u0103 pe parcursul zilei.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-9\">Institutele <strong>CURS-Avangarde<\/strong>, de\u021binute de fostul jurnalist Iosif Buble \u0219i de sociologul Marius Pieleanu, vor realiza un exit-poll comun.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-10\">Celelalte institute acreditate care vor furniza primele estim\u0103ri sunt:<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-11\"><strong>The Center for International Research and Analyses (CIRA),<\/strong>&nbsp;de\u021binut de sociologul \u0219i comentatorul politic Vladimir Iona\u0219. \u00cen trecut, 20% din ac\u021biuni au fost de\u021binute de Marius Pieleanu, care ulterior a p\u0103r\u0103sit compania.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-12\"><strong>IIC Bio-Trade Consulting SRL,<\/strong>&nbsp;firm\u0103 din Maramure\u0219 de\u021binut\u0103 de Ioni\u021ba Stanca. De\u0219i activitatea principal\u0103 declarat\u0103 este comer\u021bul cu am\u0103nuntul (alimente, b\u0103uturi, tutun), codurile CAEN secundare includ cercetare \u00een \u0219tiin\u021be sociale.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-13\"><strong>ARA Public Opinion SRL<\/strong>, acreditat\u0103 s\u0103 realizeze \u201esingura cercetare sociologic\u0103 la urne\u201d \u00een ziua votului, potrivit Antena 3.&nbsp;ARA este de\u021binut\u0103 \u00een propor\u021bie de 85% de Lauren\u021biu Andrei Vasile, fostul ginere al fondatorului trustului Intact, Dan Voiculescu, \u0219i administrator la \u201eAntena 3 S.A.\u201d<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-14\">Regulile din ziua vot\u0103rii interzic publicarea oric\u0103ror date de exit-poll \u00eenainte de \u00eenchiderea urnelor.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-4\">1,8 milioane de bucure\u0219teni sunt a\u0219tepta\u021bi la vot<\/h2>\n<p id=\"p-15\">Aproximativ 1,8 milioane de aleg\u0103tori cu drept de vot sunt a\u0219tepta\u021bi ast\u0103zi, 7 decembrie, la urne pentru alegerea Primarului Capitalei. Sec\u021biile de votare s-au deschis la ora 07:00 \u0219i se vor \u00eenchide la 21:00.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-16\">Pe buletinul de vot se afl\u0103 17 candida\u021bi, de\u0219i doi dintre ei s-au retras \u0219i \u0219i-au anun\u021bat sus\u021binerea pentru al\u021bi competitori.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"chapter-5\">Prezen\u021ba la vot ar putea decide rezultatul<\/h2>\n<p id=\"p-17\">Prezen\u021ba la vot este considerat\u0103 un factor esen\u021bial \u00een stabilirea rezultatului.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-18\"><span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediafax.ro\/politic\/am-putea-avea-o-prezenta-dezastruoasa-la-vot-avertisment-lansat-de-un-important-sociolog-23654112\">Remus \u0218tefureac<\/a><\/span>, directorul Inscop, avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Bucure\u0219tiul se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre una dintre cele mai slabe prezen\u021be la urne din ultimii ani.<\/p>\n<p id=\"p-19\"><span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediafax.ro\/politic\/alegeri-primaria-bucuresti-2025-capitala-voteaza-astazi-primarul-general-remus-stefureac-e-posibila-o-prezenta-la-vot-sub-30-23653939\">Aici<\/a><\/span> po\u021bi urm\u0103ri \u00een direct evolu\u021bia votului pentru Prim\u0103ria Capitalei.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EXIT-POLL CURS-Avangarde: Ciprian Ciucu \u2013 32,7% Daniel B\u0103lu\u021b\u0103 \u2013 26,3% Anca Alexandrescu \u2013 20,2% C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103 \u2013 12,8% Ana Ciceal\u0103 \u2013 6% Sondaj de opinie INSCOP Research, realizat \u00een ziua &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=665119\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":665120,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665119"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=665119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665119\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/665120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=665119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=665119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=665119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}