{"id":665349,"date":"2025-12-09T05:56:03","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T05:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=665349"},"modified":"2025-12-09T05:56:03","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T05:56:03","slug":"putin-se-asteapta-la-un-conflict-prelungit-nu-la-pace-iar-europa-evita-discutiile-dure-cu-publicul","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=665349","title":{"rendered":"Putin se a\u0219teapt\u0103 la un conflict prelungit, nu la pace, iar Europa evit\u0103 discu\u021biile dure cu publicul"},"content":{"rendered":"
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R\u0103zboiul din Ucraina<\/strong> r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00eentr-o faz\u0103 intens\u0103, cu peste o mie de solda\u021bi uci\u0219i sau r\u0103ni\u021bi zilnic, iar ini\u021biativa diplomatic\u0103 promovat\u0103 de pre\u0219edintele american Donald Trump nu pare s\u0103 reduc\u0103 luptele, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-o analiz\u0103 Sky News<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Potrivit \u0219efului armatei ucrainene, Vladimir Putin<\/strong> folose\u0219te negocierile ca \u201eacoperire\u201d pentru a \u00eencerca s\u0103 cucereasc\u0103 \u0219i mai mult teritoriu, cresc\u00e2nd presiunea asupra frontului ucrainean.<\/p>\n

Kremlinul nu arat\u0103 niciun semn c\u0103 inten\u021bioneaz\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eencetineasc\u0103 ritmul opera\u021biunilor militare. Rusia are peste 710.000 de militari desf\u0103\u0219ura\u021bi pe un front de 1.250 de kilometri, iar economia este puternic reorientat\u0103 c\u0103tre produc\u021bia de armament.<\/p>\n

Sky News subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 aceast\u0103 mobilizare pe termen lung este un indiciu clar c\u0103 Putin anticipeaz\u0103 mai mult r\u0103zboi, nu pace.<\/p>\n

Scenariile privind finalul conflictului depind de con\u021binutul unui eventual acord de pace. F\u0103r\u0103 o schimbare major\u0103 de pozi\u021bie a administra\u021biei Trump, \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerea complet\u0103 a Rusiei este considerat\u0103 improbabil\u0103. O solu\u021bie realist\u0103 ar fi o \u201e\u00eenghe\u021barea\u201d liniilor actuale, urmat\u0103 de negocieri de fond, \u00eens\u0103 aceasta ar necesita ca statele NATO din Europa, inclusiv Marea Britanie, Fran\u021ba \u0219i Germania s\u0103 revin\u0103 la o preg\u0103tire militar\u0103 de tip r\u0103zboi.<\/p>\n

\u00cen Fran\u021ba, autorit\u0103\u021bile vorbesc deja deschis despre posibilitatea ca familiile s\u0103-\u0219i piard\u0103 copiii \u00eentr-un conflict cu Rusia, iar Germania testeaz\u0103 aptitudinile medicale ale tuturor b\u0103rba\u021bilor de 18 ani pentru un posibil serviciu na\u021bional.<\/p>\n

\u00cen Marea Britanie, Sky News remarc\u0103 absen\u021ba unei discu\u021bii similare cu publicul. Premierul Keir Starmer nu a abordat deschis riscurile, iar apelurile \u0219efului militar la \u201epreg\u0103tire pentru lupt\u0103\u201d r\u0103m\u00e2n, \u00een opinia exper\u021bilor, simple formule tehnice f\u0103r\u0103 rezonan\u021b\u0103 pentru popula\u021bie.<\/p>\n

Un alt scenariu, considerat cel mai periculos, este acela \u00een care Europa este marginalizat\u0103 \u00een negocieri, iar Ucraina este for\u021bat\u0103 s\u0103 accepte condi\u021bii favorabile Moscovei, inclusiv cedarea unor teritorii din Donbas.<\/p>\n

O astfel de \u00een\u021belegere ar duce probabil doar la o pauz\u0103 temporar\u0103, \u00eenainte ca Rusia s\u0103 \u00eencerce din nou s\u0103 avanseze, fie \u00een restul Ucrainei, fie spre grani\u021bele NATO.<\/p>\n

\u00cen contextul \u00een care noua strategie de securitate a administra\u021biei Trump clarific\u0103 faptul c\u0103 SUA ar interveni \u00een Europa doar dac\u0103 ar avea interes direct, garan\u021biile prev\u0103zute de Articolul 5 al NATO devin tot mai incerte.<\/p>\n

Sky News \u0219i Tortoise Media au simulat chiar un scenariu de r\u0103zboi \u00een care Rusia atac\u0103 Marea Britanie, iar Washingtonul nu intervine, situa\u021bie \u00een care Regatul Unit ar r\u0103m\u00e2ne f\u0103r\u0103 op\u021biuni conven\u021bionale viabile, \u00een afara unei posibile reac\u021bii nucleare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R\u0103zboiul din Ucraina r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00eentr-o faz\u0103 intens\u0103, cu peste o mie de solda\u021bi uci\u0219i sau r\u0103ni\u021bi zilnic, iar ini\u021biativa diplomatic\u0103 promovat\u0103 de pre\u0219edintele american Donald Trump nu pare s\u0103 reduc\u0103 … Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":665350,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665349"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=665349"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/665349\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/665350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=665349"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=665349"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=665349"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}