{"id":681357,"date":"2026-03-11T23:36:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T23:36:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=681357"},"modified":"2026-03-11T23:36:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T23:36:04","slug":"vesti-ingrijoratoare-cosmin-marinescu-bnr-scumpirea-petrolului-ar-putea-impinge-inflatia-mai-sus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=681357","title":{"rendered":"Ve\u0219ti \u00eengrijor\u0103toare. Cosmin Marinescu, BNR: Scumpirea petrolului ar putea \u00eempinge infla\u021bia mai sus"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/vesti-ingrijoratoare-cosmin-marinescu-bnr-scumpirea-petrolului-ar-putea-impinge-inflatia-mai-sus.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p data-start=\"570\" data-end=\"910\" id=\"p-0\">Potrivit oficialului BNR, perspectiva unui r\u0103zboi prelungit, de amploare, ar genera efecte propagate \u0219i persistente asupra economiilor, inclusiv asupra Rom\u00e2niei. \u00cen aceste condi\u021bii, r\u0103m\u00e2ne de v\u0103zut \u00een ce m\u0103sur\u0103 \u0219i \u00een ce moment banca central\u0103 va decide s\u0103 revizuiasc\u0103 prognoza de infla\u021bie, odat\u0103 cu publicarea urm\u0103torului raport trimestrial.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"912\" data-end=\"1179\" id=\"p-1\">Conform estim\u0103rilor actuale, rata anual\u0103 a infla\u021biei ar urma s\u0103 urce la 9,8% \u00een luna iunie, pentru ca ulterior s\u0103 coboare la 3,9% \u00een decembrie 2026. \u00cen luna august este a\u0219teptat \u0219i efectul de baz\u0103 al major\u0103rii TVA, element care influen\u021beaz\u0103 traiectoria indicatorului.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1181\" data-end=\"1543\" id=\"p-2\">Cosmin Marinescu a subliniat c\u0103, \u00een compara\u021bie cu alte state europene, Rom\u00e2nia are o dependen\u021b\u0103 net\u0103 mai redus\u0103 de importurile de petrol, de circa 1,5% din PIB ca medie anual\u0103 \u00een perioada 2022-2024, cu tendin\u021b\u0103 de sc\u0103dere spre 1% din PIB \u00een 2025. Cu toate acestea, el a atras aten\u021bia c\u0103 expunerea pe segmentul pre\u021burilor bunurilor de consum r\u0103m\u00e2ne semnificativ\u0103.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1545\" data-end=\"1941\" id=\"p-3\">Viceguvernatorul BNR nu a exclus nici scenariul \u00een care conflictul din Golf s-ar prelungi, avertiz\u00e2nd c\u0103 o asemenea evolu\u021bie s-ar putea transforma \u00eentr-o \u201elam\u0103 cu dou\u0103 t\u0103i\u0219uri\u201d pentru economiile europene \u0219i pentru Rom\u00e2nia. Un alt risc semnalat vizeaz\u0103 reac\u021bia marilor fonduri de investi\u021bii, care urm\u0103resc atent evolu\u021biile din regiune \u0219i ar putea s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i reconsidere unele expuneri la nivel global.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1545\" data-end=\"1941\" id=\"chapter-0\">Deficit<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1943\" data-end=\"2279\" id=\"p-4\">Pe plan intern, oficialul BNR a insistat c\u0103 reducerea deficitului bugetar nu este op\u021bional\u0103, ci reprezint\u0103 o condi\u021bie esen\u021bial\u0103 pentru credibilitatea politicilor publice \u0219i pentru stabilitatea economic\u0103. \u201eNumai astfel putem s\u0103 revenim la sustenabilitate financiar\u0103 \u0219i s\u0103 reducem dezechilibrele structurale\u201d, a transmis Cosmin Marinescu.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2281\" data-end=\"2667\" data-is-last-node data-is-only-node id=\"p-5\">Acesta a mai ar\u0103tat c\u0103 economia Rom\u00e2niei \u00ee\u0219i schimb\u0103 treptat sursele de cre\u0219tere. Datele aferente anului 2025 indic\u0103 o contribu\u021bie mai mare a investi\u021biilor la avansul economic, de 1 punct procentual, comparativ cu aportul consumului, de 0,4 puncte procentuale. \u00cen opinia sa, aceast\u0103 schimbare de structur\u0103 poate reprezenta un semnal pozitiv pentru echilibrele economice pe termen mediu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Potrivit oficialului BNR, perspectiva unui r\u0103zboi prelungit, de amploare, ar genera efecte propagate \u0219i persistente asupra economiilor, inclusiv asupra Rom\u00e2niei. \u00cen aceste condi\u021bii, r\u0103m\u00e2ne de v\u0103zut \u00een ce m\u0103sur\u0103 \u0219i &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=681357\" class=\"more-link\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":681358,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681357"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=681357"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681357\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/681358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=681357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=681357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=681357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}