{"id":681393,"date":"2026-03-12T07:06:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:06:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=681393"},"modified":"2026-03-12T07:06:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T07:06:04","slug":"razboiul-din-iran-scumpeste-energia-in-europa-economistii-o-criza-ca-in-2022-este-putin-probabila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=681393","title":{"rendered":"R\u0103zboiul din Iran scumpe\u0219te energia \u00een Europa. Economi\u0219tii: o criz\u0103 ca \u00een 2022 este pu\u021bin probabil\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Anali\u0219tii spun \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 actualul context economic este diferit de cel din 2022, c\u00e2nd invazia Rusiei \u00een Ucraina a provocat o criz\u0103 energetic\u0103 major\u0103, potrivit unei analize CNBC<\/a>. Atunci, petrolul a dep\u0103\u0219it 120 de dolari pe baril, pre\u021burile gazelor au explodat, iar infla\u021bia din zona euro a atins un nivel record de aproximativ 9%.<\/p>\n

Pre\u021burile energiei r\u0103m\u00e2n instabile<\/h2>\n

Petrolul Brent, reperul global al pie\u021bei, s-a retras de la aproape 120 de dolari pe baril dup\u0103 ce Agen\u021bia Interna\u021bional\u0103 pentru Energie a decis s\u0103 elibereze 400 de milioane de barili din rezervele strategice.<\/p>\n

\u0218i gazele europene au cobor\u00e2t de la maximul ultimilor trei ani, de peste 63 de euro pe megawatt-or\u0103, revenind sub pragul de 50 de euro\/MWh.<\/p>\n

Contextul economic, diferit fa\u021b\u0103 de 2022<\/h2>\n

James Smith, economist la ING, spune c\u0103 reac\u021bia ini\u021bial\u0103 a pie\u021belor energetice este \u201estraniu de similar\u0103\u201d cu \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina, dar condi\u021biile economice globale nu mai sunt acelea\u0219i.<\/p>\n

\u201eCriza energetic\u0103 din 2022 a lovit o economie global\u0103 deja vulnerabil\u0103 la infla\u021bie, cu lan\u021buri de aprovizionare fracturate \u0219i o cerere puternic\u0103 dup\u0103 pandemie. Ast\u0103zi, aceste presiuni sunt mult mai reduse\u201d, a explicat el.<\/p>\n

Europa \u0219i-a diversificat sursele de energie<\/h2>\n

\u00cen ultimii ani, Europa \u0219i-a redus puternic dependen\u021ba de gazul rusesc, apel\u00e2nd la gaz natural lichefiat \u0219i la noi furnizori.<\/p>\n

Michael Lewis, directorul general al companiei energetice germane Uniper, spune c\u0103 grupul \u0219i-a diversificat aprovizionarea cu gaze din Norvegia, SUA, Canada, Australia \u0219i Azerbaidjan.<\/p>\n

\u201eNu am vrut s\u0103 repet\u0103m dependen\u021ba de o singur\u0103 surs\u0103, cum era Gazprom\u201d, a spus el.<\/p>\n

Impactul asupra infla\u021biei<\/h2>\n

Economi\u0219tii estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103, dac\u0103 perturb\u0103rile energetice se vor calma \u00een c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, infla\u021bia din zona euro ar putea cre\u0219te temporar de la aproximativ 1,9% la circa 2,5%.<\/p>\n

Nivelul ar putea \u00eent\u00e2rzia reducerile de dob\u00e2nd\u0103 ale unor b\u0103nci centrale, dar nu ar declan\u0219a o criz\u0103 infla\u021bionist\u0103 similar\u0103 celei din 2022.<\/p>\n

Pie\u021bele r\u0103m\u00e2n prudente<\/h2>\n

Strategii financiari spun c\u0103 instabilitatea pre\u021burilor la petrol \u0219i gaze reflect\u0103 incertitudinea legat\u0103 de evolu\u021bia conflictului din Orientul Mijlociu. \u201eEuropa trebuie s\u0103 se asigure c\u0103 scenariul din 2022\u20132023 nu se repet\u0103\u201d, a avertizat Geoff Yu, strateg de pia\u021b\u0103 la grupul financiar american BNY.<\/p>\n

Anali\u0219tii spun totu\u0219i c\u0103, datorit\u0103 diversific\u0103rii aprovizion\u0103rii \u0219i unui context economic diferit, Europa este ast\u0103zi mai bine preg\u0103tit\u0103 pentru a face fa\u021b\u0103 unui nou \u0219oc energetic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Anali\u0219tii spun \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 actualul context economic este diferit de cel din 2022, c\u00e2nd invazia Rusiei \u00een Ucraina a provocat o criz\u0103 energetic\u0103 major\u0103, potrivit unei analize CNBC. Atunci, petrolul … Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":681394,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681393"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=681393"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/681393\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/681394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=681393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=681393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=681393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}