{"id":692411,"date":"2026-05-14T07:26:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T07:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=692411"},"modified":"2026-05-14T07:26:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T07:26:03","slug":"citu-ins-reconfirma-recesiunea-tehnica-si-deteriorarea-accelerata-a-economiei","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/?p=692411","title":{"rendered":"C\u00ee\u021bu: INS reconfirm\u0103 recesiunea tehnic\u0103 \u0219i deteriorarea accelerat\u0103 a economiei"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Fostul premier Florin C\u00ee\u021bu scrie pe Facebook faptul c\u0103 datele prezentate de INS nu sunt o surpriz\u0103, ci \u201esunt o confirmare\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201eDin iulie 2022, fiecare cre\u0219tere de taxe, fiecare m\u0103sur\u0103 iliberal\u0103, fiecare interven\u021bie \u00een economie a urmat acela\u0219i tipar: previzibil, documentat, anun\u021bat. Dar economiile fragile nu cad brusc. Se degradeaz\u0103 metodic, p\u00e2n\u0103 c\u00e2nd datele confirm\u0103 ceea ce era deja vizibil \u00een arhitectura economiei. INS reconfirm\u0103 recesiunea tehnic\u0103 \u0219i deteriorarea accelerat\u0103 a economiei: PIB \u00een T1 2026 cu -1,7% fa\u021b\u0103 de T1 2025, infla\u021bie la 10,7% \u0219i o probabilitate ridicat\u0103 ca \u00eentreg anul 2026 s\u0103 fie \u00een recesiune. Dac\u0103 scenariul meu se confirm\u0103, va fi primul an dup\u0103 2010 cu sc\u0103dere anual\u0103 a PIB-ului, excluz\u00e2nd perioada pandemiei. Asta chiar este contraperforman\u021b\u0103. \u00cen 2010 economia global\u0103 suferea consecin\u021bele crizei subprime. \u00cen 2020 era lovit\u0103 de pandemie. \u00cen 2026, Rom\u00e2nia sufer\u0103 de prea mult\u0103 autosuficien\u021b\u0103. Iar asta cost\u0103\u201d, spune Florin C\u00ee\u021bu.<\/p>\n

Aceast\u0103 autosuficien\u021b\u0103 \u201ete duc, inevitabil, o politic\u0103 fiscal\u0103 prociclic\u0103\u201d \u0219i o politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 care o acomodeaz\u0103.<\/p>\n

Bine\u00een\u021beles, cei care au crescut taxele ani la r\u00e2nd v\u0103 spun acum c\u0103 taxele nu pot fi sc\u0103zute, spune C\u00ee\u021bu, care le cere liberalilor s\u0103 aib\u0103 \u201eg\u00e2ndire liberal\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201eExact cei care au dus economia aici v\u0103 explic\u0103 acum c\u0103 nu exist\u0103 alternativ\u0103. Evident c\u0103 taxele pot fi reduse. Dar pentru asta trebuie s\u0103 g\u00e2nde\u0219ti liberal \u2014 s\u0103 pui pe primul loc proprietatea privat\u0103, antreprenorii \u0219i economia de pia\u021b\u0103, nu statul \u0219i reflexul permanent de a controla tot. Cel mai grav este altceva. Cei care iau deciziile nu r\u0103spund pentru consecin\u021bele lor. Unii se v\u0103d chiar avans\u00e2nd \u00een func\u021bie. Este normal: nu au skin in the game. Pot gre\u0219i sistematic f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 suporte personal costul, at\u00e2ta timp c\u00e2t interesele grup\u0103rilor pe care le reprezint\u0103 o cer. Popula\u021bia nu are acela\u0219i lux. Un sistem complex f\u0103r\u0103 skin in the game nu \u00eenva\u021b\u0103. Nu devine antifragil (devine mai fragil cu fiecare criza). Continu\u0103 s\u0103 intervin\u0103 \u00een acelea\u0219i variabile gre\u0219ite \u0219i apoi se mir\u0103 de acela\u0219i rezultat\u201d, a mai spus C\u00ee\u021bu.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fostul premier Florin C\u00ee\u021bu scrie pe Facebook faptul c\u0103 datele prezentate de INS nu sunt o surpriz\u0103, ci \u201esunt o confirmare\u201d. \u201eDin iulie 2022, fiecare cre\u0219tere de taxe, fiecare m\u0103sur\u0103 … Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":692412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"Default","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692411"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=692411"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692411\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/692412"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=692411"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=692411"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/microscopemedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=692411"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}